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2024-12-14 00:53:25

The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)Citigroup raised the carnival target price from $28.00 to $30.00.The yield of 20/30-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 5 basis points on the release date of US CPI inflation data. Investors also paid attention to oil prices and Yellen's new debt supply. At the end of new york on Wednesday (December 11), the yield of US 10-year benchmark government bonds rose by 3.89 basis points to 4.2652%. After the release of US CPI inflation data at 21:30 Beijing time, it plunged significantly and refreshed at 22:41 (the beginning of US stock market). Then it rebounded, and the results released at 02:00 showed that the auction of 10-year US bonds was strong, the bid multiple reached a new high since 2016, and the yield reached 4.2750% at 03:00. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 1.02 basis points to 4.1532%, and reached 4.1741% at 21:17 (less than a quarter of an hour before the release of the US CPI data). After the data was released, it plunged, and reached 4.0969% at 22:41, and then gradually rebounded.


At least 15 people were killed in the attack on the capital of Northern Darfur, Sudan. On the 11th, government officials of Northern Darfur in western Sudan said that Sudan's rapid support forces shelled a market in El Fasher, the capital of the state, and Zam Zam refugee camp that day, which has caused 15 deaths.Fitch Ratings: US state and local governments are expected to return to normal in 2025.Antong Holdings: The 10 million shares held by shareholder Guo Dongsheng were transferred by judicial force, and Antong Holdings (600179.SH) issued an announcement. Recently, the company learned that the 10 million shares of the company's restricted shares held by shareholder Guo Dongsheng were transferred to the name of Guangdong Huaxing Bank Co., Ltd. by judicial force, so Guo Dongsheng passively reduced his holding of 10 million shares of the company. The shares transferred this time account for 5.74% of the total shares held by the company and 0.24% of the total shares of the company.


The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. (SSE)The CEO of Bank of America said that the sales and trading business is expected to hit a new high in the fourth quarter, and the income of investment banking business jumped. Brian Moynihan, CEO of Bank of America, said that the quarterly income of the bank's investment banking business is expected to increase by at least 25% year-on-year, and the sales and trading business is expected to hit a new high. Moynihan said at the Goldman Sachs Financial Services Conference on Wednesday that with the "continuous growth" of transactions, the investment banking revenue in the fourth quarter may exceed $1.4 billion. Analysts had expected that the investment banking revenue of the second largest bank in the United States would be close to $1.5 billion, equivalent to an increase of about 27%. At the same time, Moynihan said that the sales and trading business should once again record year-on-year growth, achieving medium-to-high single-digit growth in the last quarter of this year. Analysts predict that market revenue will increase by 8.2% to $4.06 billion. The business led by Jim DeMare "has reached a higher level, but we will set a record in the fourth quarter, so we feel good," Moynihan said.US stocks "Seven Sisters" | Tesla and Google A closed up more than 5%, both hitting record highs. On Wednesday (December 11), in "Magnificent 7", Tesla closed up 5.93%, refreshing the record high of closing to 424.77 US dollars; Google's parent company, Alphabet(GOOGL), closed up 5.52%, the best performance for two consecutive days since 2015-accumulated up by about 11%, refreshing the historical high of closing to 195.40 US dollars; NVIDIA rose 3.14%, Amazon rose 2.32%, Meta Platforms rose 2.16%, Microsoft rose 1.28%, and Apple closed down 0.52% from its all-time high. In addition, AMD closed up 1.89%, TSMC ADR rose 1.39%, Berkshire Hathaway B shares closed down 0.24%, and Lilly fell 0.44%.

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